GCRIP Monitor

How to Read This Monitor

Trust framing for policy, risk, and market operations users.

Scope: This prototype is a France/EU forward-stress monitor, not yet a full French physical electricity-security monitor.

What it measures

  • Daily France-focused forward stress score with EU context.
  • Rule-based alerts for price spikes, liquidity deterioration, silent risk, and transmission pulse.
  • Interpretable component decomposition: price, curve, liquidity, transmission, and GDELT pressure.

What it does not measure

  • Not a full physical-security stack (load, generation, interconnector flows, outages).
  • Not full-text news interpretation; evidence is metadata/extracted-signal based.
  • Not a direct substitute for operator-grade balancing or reliability systems.

Leakage-safe temporal protocol

  • Decision cutoff fixed at 06:00 Europe/Paris.
  • Only observations with availability timestamp ≤ cutoff are eligible.
  • Future labels start strictly after cutoff windows.

Data layer roles

  • EEX: core France/EU forward stress signal.
  • GME: transmission/fragmentation context (not France spot).
  • GDELT GKG: narrative signal.
  • GDELT Events: structured event signal.
  • GDELT Mentions: attention amplification signal.